Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Michigan seems like a dream to me now


It's decision day in the.... Wolverine state? I don't know. Anyway, Mitt Romney is holding on by a thread as the hometown candidate in a place where everyone has fond memories of his nutty father and his peace marches with Frederick Douglas.

Polls show Mitt tied with John McCain (who won Michigan in 2000), and Chuck Norris a not so distant third. McCain is still riding high after his comatose yet 5 point victory in New Hampshire, and Mitt Romney is riding high after going a whole 6 days without losing a primary.

As I mentioned last week, if Mitt loses here, it's over for him and his excessively attractive family. Much like Fruity Giuliani in Florida and Fred Thompson in South Carolina, Mitt is making his stand in Michigan, where people have a vague recollection of him and no idea what a terrible Governor he was. Good luck!

Last week I was pretty convinced of a McCain victory, a knockout punch to set up a de facto 1 on 1 vs. Huckabee as Thompson and Giuliani lost consecutive weeks, but it's snowing in Michigan today. That could mean a lot of things, but the general consensus is that bad weather means only die hards come out, and while I shiver to think of anyone who might be a die hard for Mitt Romney, his support in Michigan has been strong while McCain's has only really grown since his victory in New Hampshire last week. Which means, McCain's supporters won't come out in droves, but Romney's (and Huckabee's) might. Huckabee could pull off a miracle and win second.

Predictions

1) Mitt Romney
2) John McCain
3) Mike Huckabee
4) Fred Thompson
5) Zombie Reagan

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